How CongressSignal works

Full transparency. No black boxes.

The data source

All trade disclosures are public record under the STOCK Act (2012). Members of Congress must file a Periodic Transaction Report (PTR) within 45 days of any trade. We monitor the House Clerk and Senate disclosure databases in real time — checking for new filings every 60 seconds.

The confidence score

Not all trades are equal. We score each trade on: (1) position size — larger trades signal more conviction; (2) committee overlap — a member of the Armed Services committee buying a defense contractor gets a higher score; (3) member track record — historical accuracy of past trades; (4) clustering — when multiple members trade the same ticker within the same week.

The alert system

When a new disclosure is filed, we parse it within 60 seconds, calculate the confidence score, and fire alerts to all subscribers. Insider plan users receive SMS, email, and push notifications simultaneously. Auto plan users have their IBKR accounts execute the trade automatically with Kelly-optimized position sizing.

Position sizing

We use the Kelly Criterion to size each trade proportionally to the confidence score. A 95% confidence trade gets a larger allocation than a 65% confidence trade. Auto tier positions are capped at 25% of portfolio per single trade regardless of Kelly output.

Legal basis

Everything here is completely legal. Congressional trade disclosures are public record. The SEC's Regulation Fair Disclosure (Reg FD) applies to corporations, not government officials. The STOCK Act requires disclosure but does not prohibit copying disclosed trades. We are not a registered investment advisor — all content is for informational purposes.

CongressSignal is not affiliated with the US Congress or any government body. Not financial advice.